{
  "schema_version": "fwdvar_diagnostics_v4",
  "issues": [
    {
      "code": "sparse_chain",
      "scope": "expiry",
      "severity": "INFO",
      "expiry_dt": "2026-05-05",
      "interval_from": null,
      "interval_to": null,
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "2026-05-05",
      "message_short": "Sparse chain",
      "message_long": "Option chain is sparse (fewer strikes than normal)",
      "metrics": {
        "n_pairs_atm": 3,
        "min_pairs_required": 5
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "low_tier",
      "scope": "expiry",
      "severity": "WARN",
      "expiry_dt": "2026-09-29",
      "interval_from": null,
      "interval_to": null,
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "2026-09-29",
      "message_short": "LOW tier (direct straddle)",
      "message_long": "Accept tier: LOW (DIRECT_STRADDLE_ONLY path)",
      "metrics": {}
    },
    {
      "code": "rejected",
      "scope": "expiry",
      "severity": "INFO",
      "expiry_dt": "2027-03-30",
      "interval_from": null,
      "interval_to": null,
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "2027-03-30",
      "message_short": "Rejected: insufficient_strikes",
      "message_long": "Expiry rejected: insufficient_strikes",
      "metrics": {
        "reject_reason": "insufficient_strikes"
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "baseline_thin",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "INFO",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-04-13",
      "interval_to": "2026-04-21",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "04-13\u219204-21",
      "message_short": "Thin baseline",
      "message_long": "Baseline quality: THIN (few neighbors: 1)",
      "metrics": {
        "baseline_n": 1
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "low_source",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "WARN",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-04-13",
      "interval_to": "2026-04-21",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "04-13\u219204-21",
      "message_short": "LOW confidence",
      "message_long": "Event confidence: LOW (baseline not robust)",
      "metrics": {
        "confidence": "LOW"
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "neg_fwdvar",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "INFO",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-04-28",
      "interval_to": "2026-05-05",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "04-28\u219205-05",
      "message_short": "NEG forward variance",
      "message_long": "Negative forward variance: -0.1752",
      "metrics": {
        "fwd_var": -0.17517768163974057,
        "near_var": 0.004115208277114918,
        "far_var": 0.003136118922265875,
        "ba_age_near": 1.9619149999999999,
        "ba_age_far": 1.792166
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "baseline_fallback",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "WARN",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-05-05",
      "interval_to": "2026-05-26",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "05-05\u219205-26",
      "message_short": "Baseline fallback",
      "message_long": "Baseline quality: FALLBACK (edge case)",
      "metrics": {
        "baseline_n": 1
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "baseline_fallback",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "WARN",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-05-26",
      "interval_to": "2026-06-30",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "05-26\u219206-30",
      "message_short": "Baseline fallback",
      "message_long": "Baseline quality: FALLBACK (edge case)",
      "metrics": {
        "baseline_n": 1
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "low_source",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "WARN",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-06-30",
      "interval_to": "2026-09-29",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "06-30\u219209-29",
      "message_short": "LOW confidence",
      "message_long": "Event confidence: LOW (baseline not robust)",
      "metrics": {
        "confidence": "LOW"
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "baseline_thin",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "INFO",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-09-29",
      "interval_to": "2026-12-29",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "09-29\u219212-29",
      "message_short": "Thin baseline",
      "message_long": "Baseline quality: THIN (few neighbors: 1)",
      "metrics": {
        "baseline_n": 1
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "low_source",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "WARN",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-09-29",
      "interval_to": "2026-12-29",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "09-29\u219212-29",
      "message_short": "LOW confidence",
      "message_long": "Event confidence: LOW (baseline not robust)",
      "metrics": {
        "confidence": "LOW"
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "elevated_fwdvol",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "WARN",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-04-13",
      "interval_to": "2026-04-21",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "04-13\u219204-21",
      "message_short": "Elevated fwd vol (46.8%)",
      "message_long": "Forward volatility: 46.8% (threshold: 30%)",
      "metrics": {
        "fwd_vol": 0.4675673481329028,
        "threshold": 0.3
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "elevated_fwdvol",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "WARN",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-04-21",
      "interval_to": "2026-04-28",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "04-21\u219204-28",
      "message_short": "Elevated fwd vol (45.0%)",
      "message_long": "Forward volatility: 45.0% (threshold: 30%)",
      "metrics": {
        "fwd_vol": 0.44967435033594416,
        "threshold": 0.3
      }
    },
    {
      "code": "elevated_fwdvol",
      "scope": "interval",
      "severity": "WARN",
      "expiry_dt": null,
      "interval_from": "2026-05-05",
      "interval_to": "2026-05-26",
      "strike": null,
      "target_key": "05-05\u219205-26",
      "message_short": "Elevated fwd vol (48.7%)",
      "message_long": "Forward volatility: 48.7% (threshold: 30%)",
      "metrics": {
        "fwd_vol": 0.4868619384904268,
        "threshold": 0.3
      }
    }
  ],
  "summary": {
    "total": 14,
    "fail_count": 0,
    "warn_count": 9,
    "info_count": 5
  },
  "derived": {
    "structure_summary": {
      "iv_7d": {
        "pct": 51.702412187778236,
        "pct_cal": 29.262707886970112,
        "actual_dte": 6,
        "expiry_date": "2026-04-13",
        "tau_eff": 0.005353536897814277,
        "tau_cal": 0.0167121908900867,
        "tau_ratio": 3.1217102280381956
      },
      "iv_30d": {
        "pct": 36.39655980932906,
        "pct_cal": 20.18860535114328,
        "actual_dte": 28,
        "expiry_date": "2026-05-05",
        "tau_eff": 0.023674011291729555,
        "tau_cal": 0.07694490820699293,
        "tau_ratio": 3.2501846543375352
      },
      "iv_90d": {
        "pct": 37.4610962892862,
        "pct_cal": 20.836118246930237,
        "actual_dte": 84,
        "expiry_date": "2026-06-30",
        "tau_eff": 0.07123603649082524,
        "tau_cal": 0.2302645522863906,
        "tau_ratio": 3.232416676018285
      },
      "front_slope_pct": -15.305852378449176,
      "back_slope_pct": 1.06453647995714,
      "max_fwd_vol_pct": 48.68619384904268,
      "max_fwd_vol_interval": {
        "from": "2026-05-05",
        "to": "2026-05-26"
      },
      "max_fwd_vol_dte_range": {
        "start_dte": 28,
        "end_dte": 49
      },
      "neg_interval_count": 1,
      "clock_primary": "variance_time",
      "clock_secondary": "calendar",
      "vt_vintage": "202603",
      "beta_on": 0.12931315994459922,
      "beta_we": 0.19024823173932068,
      "quote_context_dt": "2026-04-07T13:00:03.364767+05:30",
      "effective_quote_policy": "weighted_mid",
      "tau_mode_math": "variance_time",
      "rr_25d": null,
      "fly_25d": null,
      "put_iv_25d": null,
      "call_iv_25d": null,
      "rr_fly_diagnostics": null
    },
    "interval_leaderboard": {
      "highest": [
        {
          "from": "2026-05-05",
          "to": "2026-05-26",
          "start_dte": 28,
          "end_dte": 49,
          "forward_vol": 0.4868619384904268,
          "forward_variance": 0.2370345471506561
        },
        {
          "from": "2026-04-13",
          "to": "2026-04-21",
          "start_dte": 6,
          "end_dte": 14,
          "forward_vol": 0.4675673481329028,
          "forward_variance": 0.21861922504003514
        },
        {
          "from": "2026-04-21",
          "to": "2026-04-28",
          "start_dte": 14,
          "end_dte": 21,
          "forward_vol": 0.44967435033594416,
          "forward_variance": 0.20220702135005345
        },
        {
          "from": "2026-05-26",
          "to": "2026-06-30",
          "start_dte": 49,
          "end_dte": 84,
          "forward_vol": 0.295108973703473,
          "forward_variance": 0.08708930636031713
        },
        {
          "from": "2026-09-29",
          "to": "2026-12-29",
          "start_dte": 175,
          "end_dte": 266,
          "forward_vol": 0.23589271257135955,
          "forward_variance": 0.05564537184427405
        }
      ],
      "lowest": [
        {
          "from": "2026-06-30",
          "to": "2026-09-29",
          "start_dte": 84,
          "end_dte": 175,
          "forward_vol": 0.23263156665422363,
          "forward_variance": 0.054117445803998486
        },
        {
          "from": "2026-09-29",
          "to": "2026-12-29",
          "start_dte": 175,
          "end_dte": 266,
          "forward_vol": 0.23589271257135955,
          "forward_variance": 0.05564537184427405
        },
        {
          "from": "2026-05-26",
          "to": "2026-06-30",
          "start_dte": 49,
          "end_dte": 84,
          "forward_vol": 0.295108973703473,
          "forward_variance": 0.08708930636031713
        },
        {
          "from": "2026-04-21",
          "to": "2026-04-28",
          "start_dte": 14,
          "end_dte": 21,
          "forward_vol": 0.44967435033594416,
          "forward_variance": 0.20220702135005345
        },
        {
          "from": "2026-04-13",
          "to": "2026-04-21",
          "start_dte": 6,
          "end_dte": 14,
          "forward_vol": 0.4675673481329028,
          "forward_variance": 0.21861922504003514
        }
      ],
      "neg_intervals": [
        {
          "from": "2026-04-28",
          "to": "2026-05-05",
          "forward_variance": -0.17517768163974057,
          "notes": "NEG_FWDVAR",
          "debug": {
            "quote_age_near": "2s",
            "pricing_mode": "weighted_mid"
          }
        }
      ]
    },
    "forward_volatility_matrix": {
      "schema_version": "fwdvol_matrix_v2",
      "status": "available",
      "expiry_filter_policy_version": "usable_expiries_v1",
      "expiry_dates": [
        "2026-04-13",
        "2026-04-21",
        "2026-04-28",
        "2026-05-05",
        "2026-05-26",
        "2026-06-30",
        "2026-09-29",
        "2026-12-29"
      ],
      "dte_days": [
        6,
        14,
        21,
        28,
        49,
        84,
        175,
        266
      ],
      "matrix_fwdvol_pct": [
        [
          null,
          46.75673481329028,
          45.91607497544308,
          30.506994298801153,
          40.58020010925429,
          36.057603506894914,
          29.806677047057274,
          27.79658953380774
        ],
        [
          null,
          null,
          44.96743503359441,
          14.45106909514578,
          39.05809999118034,
          34.6416407029104,
          28.726739418125476,
          26.991868913856877
        ],
        [
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          37.40352986516366,
          33.2652560678244,
          27.751065008936337,
          26.287765942379732
        ],
        [
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          48.68619384904268,
          37.97984909575713,
          29.703205611004456,
          27.538589289476917
        ],
        [
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          29.5108973703473,
          25.127902383177886,
          24.497093408613395
        ],
        [
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          23.263156665422365,
          23.425738993276084
        ],
        [
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          23.589271257135955
        ],
        [
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null,
          null
        ]
      ],
      "neg_mask": [
        [
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false
        ],
        [
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false
        ],
        [
          false,
          false,
          false,
          true,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false
        ],
        [
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false
        ],
        [
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false
        ],
        [
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false
        ],
        [
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false
        ],
        [
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false,
          false
        ]
      ],
      "clip": {
        "method": "percentile",
        "p_lo": 5,
        "p_hi": 95,
        "vmin": 23.31193136377848,
        "vmax": 46.50453686193612
      },
      "usable_count": 8,
      "excluded": []
    },
    "expiry_quality_summary": {
      "schema_version": "expiry_quality_summary_v1",
      "filter_policy_version": "usable_expiries_v1",
      "total_count": 9,
      "usable_count": 8,
      "excluded": [
        {
          "expiry_date": "2027-03-30",
          "dte_days": 357,
          "reject_reason": "insufficient_strikes",
          "accept_tier": null,
          "why": "insufficient_strikes"
        }
      ]
    },
    "build_metadata": {
      "git_commit": "ef451fad",
      "build_timestamp": "2026-04-07T07:30:08.126395+00:00",
      "python_version": "3.13"
    },
    "request_echo": {
      "event_windows_requested": false,
      "sliding_windows_requested": false,
      "diagnostics_level": "lite",
      "tau_mode": "variance_time",
      "event_windows_exported": false,
      "event_windows_count": 0,
      "sliding_windows_exported": false,
      "ui_presets_exported": true,
      "ui_presets_events_count": 1,
      "ui_presets_missing_reason": null,
      "required_iv_tenors": []
    },
    "ui_limits": {
      "max_horizon_days": 56,
      "max_horizon_label": "8w_liquid",
      "min_horizon_days": 0,
      "tz": "Asia/Kolkata",
      "notes": "UI clamps horizon; avoid LEAPS/illiquid expiries beyond 8 weeks"
    },
    "ui_capabilities": {
      "schema_version": "ui_capabilities_v1",
      "generated_at_utc": "2026-04-07T07:30:08.126591+00:00",
      "source": "volstrats.analytics.ui_capabilities.build_ui_capabilities",
      "filter_policy": {
        "name": "UI_GRADE",
        "version": "usable_expiries_v1"
      },
      "missing_reason": null,
      "features": {
        "forward_matrix_json": false,
        "quote_cards_html": false,
        "event_window_tool": false,
        "sliding_windows": false,
        "smile_density_plots": false,
        "chain_snapshots": false,
        "carry_data": true
      },
      "counts": {
        "usable_expiries": 8,
        "excluded_expiries": 1,
        "neg_cells": 1,
        "issues_fail": 0,
        "issues_warn": 9
      }
    },
    "ui_presets": {
      "schema_version": "ui_presets_v1",
      "generated_at_utc": "2026-04-07T07:30:08.128791+00:00",
      "asof_iso": "2026-04-07T13:00:03.364767+05:30",
      "asof_source": "structure_summary.quote_context_dt",
      "horizon_days": 56,
      "tz": "Asia/Kolkata",
      "source": "market_calendar.list_upcoming_events",
      "id_namespace": "market_calendar",
      "id_format": "CATEGORY_YYYYMM",
      "events": [
        {
          "id": "RBI_MPC_202604",
          "name": "RBI MPC \u2013 Apr 2026 policy",
          "start_iso": "2026-04-09T09:15:00+05:30",
          "end_iso": "2026-04-09T15:30:00+05:30",
          "category": "macro",
          "tags": [
            "rbi_mpc",
            "india"
          ],
          "certainty": "scheduled",
          "template": "full_session",
          "importance": null
        }
      ]
    }
  }
}